講義名 経済特殊講義Ⅲ（Economic StatisticsⅡ（英））　≪◇学部≫
講義開講時期 後期
曜日･時限 水４
単位数 2

担当教員
氏名
川﨑　茂

学習目標(到達目標) This is Part II of Economic Statistics. Students will study analytical methods using national accounts and other economic statistics, and acquire skills to interpret socio-economic conditions of Japan and the world.
本科目は前期の続編です。今期は，標本理論，回帰分析，国民経済計算等の手法や概念を学び，英語による資料作成能力を習得します。
授業概要(教育目的) This course teaches introductory inferential statistics, including sampling theories, statistical testing and regression, using national accounts and other statistics. Students will study how to apply them to real data.
この講義では，標本理論、統計的検定、回帰分析等を含む推測統計の基礎及び国民経済計算など経済統計を英語で学びます。現実のデータを用いて演習を行います。
授業計画表
 
回項目内容
第1回Probability and Inference (1)Introduction to this course will be given. As the foundation of inferential statistics, basic theories of probability will be explained. No advance study is needed.
第2回Probability and Inference (2)Concepts of sampling and estimation, including standard error and confidence interval, will be explained. Exercises will be given. Read the handouts distributed in advance.
第3回Probability and Inference (3)Concepts and methods of statistical testing will be explained. Read the handouts distributed in advance.
第4回Probability and Inference (4)Different types of probability functions will be explained. Read the handouts distributed in advance.
第5回Regression Models (1)Concepts and methods of regression models will be explained. Read the handouts distributed in advance.
第6回Regression Models (2)
Exercises on regression models will be given. Read the handouts distributed in advance.
第7回National Accounts (1)The framework of national accounts will be explained. Students will study how to analyze national accounts statistics. Read the handouts distributed in advance.
第8回National Accounts (2)Basic concepts for international comparison of
GDP will be explained. Read the handouts distributed in advance.
第9回National Accounts (3)

Exercises will be given. Review the two previous lessons in advance.
第10回Price Indices (1)
Basic theories and concepts of price indices will be explained. Students will study the historical movements of prices in Japan and other countries. Read the handouts distributed in advance.
第11回Price Indices (2)Exercises on different formulae of price indices will be given. Read the handouts distributed in advance.
第12回International Trade and Balance of Payments (1)The framework of International Trade and Balance of Payments Statistics will be explained. In the exercise, students will analyze such statistics.
第13回International Trade and Balance of Payments (2)Exercises on Trade and Balance of Payments Statistics will be given. Read the handouts distributed in advance.
第14回Questions and AnswersReview and Overall Discussion
第15回Summary and Conclusions
The points of 1-14th lessons will be summarized.
授業形式 Lectures will be given in the PC room. Students will work on exercises, and present their reports, using mainly EXCEL.
授業は，パソコン教室でEXCEL等を用いて進めます。講義，演習，資料作成，プレゼンテーション等を含め，原則としてすべて英語で行います。これにより，英語での理解・説明能力を高めることを目指します。
評価方法
定期試験 レポート 小テスト 講義態度
（出席） 		その他 合計
0% 50% 0% 50% 0% 100%
評価の特記事項 Assessment will be based on achievements in classroom exercises and contributions.
テキスト Study materials will be given in the classroom. Bring folders and USB memories to store them.
参考文献 "Understanding National Accounts: Second Edition", OECD Publishing, Paris
（downloadable from http://www.oecd.org/std/understanding-national-accounts-9789264214637-en.htm）
その他，授業中に指示する。
オフィスアワー(授業相談) Tuesday, 13:00-15:00. Make an appointment before you come to the office.
事前学習の内容など，学生へのメッセージ Students should also take "Economic Statistics I." in the 1st Semester. Active engagement in the classroom activities is essential.
「Economic Statistics I」もできるだけ事前に履修してください。やむを得ない場合には、事前履修なしでも履修を認めることがあります。演習や質疑応答では積極的に対応してください。統計分析手法の習得に加えて世界の実情についても理解を深めてください。